
International spot gas prices fell to record lows in the second quarter of 2020 as lockdown-driven demand losses and LNG oversupply pushed European TTF below 1 dollar per MMBtu in May. European storage reached 80% full by the end of June.
Global LNG oversupply and high storage keep downward pressure on gas prices, and the forward curve points to further weakness through summer. Cheaper gas can weaken fertilizer and power costs but also reduces competitiveness for pipeline supplies.
After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.