
India's NFL issued a urea import tender on January 4 with shipment by February 29, and CFR offers were expected below $320/t West Coast and $330/t East Coast. Brazil's CFR granular urea rose to $340/t, and Turkish urea prices gained about $10/t.
Ammonium sulfate prices in Europe and China were mostly stable and weak.
Rising Brazilian and Turkish urea prices alongside a large Indian tender point to firmer global nitrogen prices. Buyers should expect urea costs to hold or rise into February.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.