
The euro fell to its lowest level in more than a year after a Financial Times report that the ECB was concerned about exposure of Spanish, Italian and French banks to Turkey. The Turkish lira hit a record low amid a rift with the United States, and investors moved into the dollar, yen and Swiss franc.
Safe-haven demand lifted the dollar and pressured the euro, while emerging-market currencies sold off on risk aversion, shifting cross-currency values for dollar-priced commodities.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly ties the euro's drop on 2018-08-10 to the FT report on ECB concern over bank exposure to Turkey, which triggered a flight to the dollar, yen and Swiss franc.