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The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has blocked urea shipments, leaving large volumes stranded in the Gulf. Iranian drone attacks on Qatar and Bahrain have also damaged production, and Mideast urea output has dropped.
Urea is a core nitrogen source, and losing Gulf supply tightens global availability for farmers and pushes nitrogen fertilizer prices higher, raising feed-grain production costs.
bloomberg.comEleanor ThornberApr 27, 2026After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, UREA moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
