
Wholesale choice boxed beef prices rose 10% in one week to $237.85 per cwt after the Tyson fire reduced production, according to USDA data. Cattle producers saw prices decline as a result.
Reduced beef processing capacity tightens boxed beef supply and lifts wholesale beef values, while live cattle prices fall because fewer packers are bidding for animals.
After 20 past bearish logistics events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.0%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 29 past bearish logistics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.5%), and -3.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.