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NAB FX strategists said the US dollar is likely to rally hard after the FOMC decision if the Fed keeps its hawkish inflation and rate outlook despite softer data. They highlighted the 2018 dot plot and Yellen's press conference as key.
NAB maintained bullish USD forecasts for H2 2017 against all majors except EUR/USD.
A forecast USD rally from a hawkish Fed would strengthen the dollar and pressure dollar-priced commodities, though it is a forecast rather than a realized move.
octaafrica.netJun 14, 2017After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
