
McKinsey says the global economy remains reliant on vulnerable shipping passages, notably the Strait of Hormuz, where a closure would reroute oil and LNG at higher cost. The analysis highlights Red Sea and Panama Canal disruptions as further examples of chokepoint risk.
The analysis reinforces risk premiums on freight and energy, which feed into higher costs for feed commodities and transport, though it reports no new event that moves prices directly.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.