
Oklahoma State extension economist Derrell Peel says the fed cattle market looks poised to break higher in late third quarter, with auction calf and stocker prices rising counter-seasonally. The August Cattle on Feed report showed July placements at 91.9% of last year and feedlot inventories at 98.1% of 2020 levels.
Lower feedlot placements and inventories signal tighter fed cattle supply, supporting cattle prices and tempering feed demand growth.
After 268 past bullish report events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Cattle on Feed showed July placements at 91.9% of last year and inventories at 98.1%, signaling tighter supply and fueling bullish expectations for fed cattle prices.