
EUR/USD fell below 1.1200 to monthly lows as risk-off sentiment picked up after Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine. US 10-year yields dropped below 1.90% and German 10-year Bund yields fell below 0.15%.
Safe-haven demand for the dollar and bonds signals a stronger dollar and lower yields, which lowers the cost of holding dollar-priced commodities and reduces feed input costs for importers.
在过去 36 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 -0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 89 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(74% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Intraday note on EUR/USD breaking below 1.1200 on risk-off sentiment and lower Bund yields after the invasion began, showing the sentiment and rate mechanism.