加载中…
Oklahoma State University analysis notes Hard Red Winter wheat harvest contracts were forward-priced near $6.07 a bushel in mid-April 2021, down from $6.51 in February. The article flags freezing weather on April 19 to 21 with unknown yield impact and a forecast of above-average temperatures and below-average rain.
U.S. wheat ending stocks are projected at 852 million bushels.
Dry, warm forecasts for the HRW belt threaten yields and could keep harvest-delivery prices firm. Tight projected ending stocks support wheat values for feed use.
farmprogress.comKim Anderson2021年4月26日在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Freezing temperatures on April 19-21 with unknown yield impact, plus a hot and dry forecast, raised HRW crop-risk concerns in the window of the rally, a plausible supply-side driver, though the article notes forward prices were lower than in February.
