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Media coverage focused on fears that Iran would block the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about 20% of global crude oil and LNG, or strike US military bases in the region. The article questions whether US military action or Iran's allies have more influence on crude prices.
Perceived supply-disruption risk in the Gulf adds a geopolitical premium to crude, which feeds through to diesel, fertilizer and freight costs for feed producers.
在过去 63 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 -2.7%。
在过去 60 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。