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Crude prices swung by more than $10 per barrel in recent weeks, with oil falling in Q3 as investors lost faith in OPEC+ market management. Israel-Iran conflict risk has been the main focus, with crude surging in early October.
Tensions within OPEC+ and slowing Chinese oil demand add to the outlook uncertainty.
Geopolitical risk to crude supply supports prices, while OPEC+ output increases and weaker Chinese demand weigh on them. The net direction for crude remains uncertain heading into Q4.
在过去 60 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.9%。
在过去 63 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 -2.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。