
The yuan rose to its strongest level against the dollar since January 3 after a friendly call between Trump and Xi and better-than-expected fourth-quarter GDP data. The PBOC set its midpoint at 7.1886 per dollar, much firmer than Reuters estimates.
Easing US-China tension reduces near-term risk of tariff retaliation against US feed grains, a modestly supportive factor for soybean and corn demand expectations.
在过去 10 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
在过去 72 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.0%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
A friendly Trump-Xi call, stronger Q4 GDP and a firm PBOC midpoint lifted the yuan to a two-week high on Jan 20, which fits a sharp one-day fall in CNY per USD ending Jan 21.
A friendly Trump-Xi call, strong GDP data and a firm PBOC midpoint lifted the yuan to a two-week high, which accounts for the decline in CNY per USD during the week.