
Oil prices fell sharply to two-week lows on May 6 as reports said the US and Iran were nearing an initial peace deal, with Pakistan acting as mediator and Iran reviewing a US proposal. Brent settled down $8.60 (7.83%) at $101.27 after dipping below $100 for the first time since April 22, and WTI lost $7.19 to $95.08.
A prospective end to the Middle East war would ease fears of lost Gulf supply, pushing crude lower. Lower crude reduces diesel and energy costs for feed production and transport, and can weaken biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports of a near US-Iran peace deal triggered a $8.60 one-day Brent drop to about $101, directly driving the sentiment-led decline as the risk premium for Gulf supply disruption was removed.