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Ever.ag's Jenny Wackershouser says US domestic dairy demand has lagged growing processing capacity and a 200,000-plus cow herd increase. Exports must absorb extra production, but European cheese prices have fallen to about $1.50, so US exporters may need prices near $1.30 to compete.
Weak domestic demand and a global dairy glut mean milk prices are unlikely to rally in 2026, keeping pressure on dairy-linked feed demand.
brownfieldagnews.comLarry Lee2025年12月30日在过去 49 次看跌的贸易事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Ever.ag's bearish 2026 outlook says domestic demand lags growing processing capacity and herd expansion, and that US cheese would need to fall toward $1.30 to compete in export markets, pointing to lower cheese and Class III values.
