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Rabobank forecasts dairy prices to keep trending downward in Q1 2023 as Chinese import demand is absent amid expected domestic destocking. Renewed Chinese buying is expected from Q2 2023, and the January WASDE cut 2023 US dairy price projections across milk classes.
Weak Chinese import demand and lower USDA price projections reduce dairy prices and farm margins, which may limit US dairy expansion. A recovery in Chinese buying from Q2 would provide later support for global dairy markets.
foodagribusiness.worldRené Groeneveld2023年2月2日在过去 49 次看跌的贸易事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Rabobank's call for weak Chinese import demand in Q1 and WASDE cuts to 2023 US dairy price forecasts weighed on demand expectations and sentiment, pressuring Class III futures.
