
Currency markets were hit by steep losses and wild swings after Russia invaded Ukraine. The Deutsche Bank Currency Volatility Index neared 10%, its highest since April 2020, and the euro was down more than 4% against the dollar since the war began.
Goldman Sachs dropped its constructive euro outlook while the conflict continues.
Currency volatility and a stronger dollar raise the cost of imported feed ingredients for buyers outside the US and add risk to hedging. European energy supply concerns also raise the cost of production inputs.
在过去 36 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 -0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 89 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(74% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。