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China's Nitrogen Fertilizer Association set a urea export quota of 2 million tonnes, well below the 4 million tonnes initially reported, with application windows from May to September. Export certificates are valid one month and ex-factory prices are capped at May 6 levels, while DAP and MAP prices are climbing on reduced Chinese export quotas of 2 million and 1 million tonnes.
Constrained Chinese urea and phosphate exports keep global fertilizer supply tight, supporting input costs for feed producers and farmers' crop margins.
czapp.comStein Chingen Haugan2025年5月19日在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reduced Chinese DAP/MAP export quotas (2 Mt and 1 Mt) constrain supply and push DAP prices higher, matching the timing of the move.
China's reduced DAP and MAP export quotas of 2 and 1 million tonnes tighten global phosphate supply and push DAP prices higher, though the news came a few days before the move.
China's 2 Mt urea export quota with ex-factory prices capped signals a resumption of Chinese supply, which weighs on global prices from tight-supply highs.
Reduced Chinese DAP/MAP export quotas of 2 Mt and 1 Mt are pushing DAP prices higher via constrained supply.
