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China will prohibit fertiliser exports until at least April 2024, with export clearance not issued until after its domestic season ends. The aim is to stabilise or lower domestic prices.
Urea prices were quoted around USD 300 to 330 per tonne CFR, and the article describes world urea, potash and ammonia markets as oversupplied.
A export ban removes a major supplier from the global market during the Northern Hemisphere spring buying season, which supports urea and phosphate prices despite oversupply elsewhere.
czapp.comStein Chingen Haugan2023年12月4日在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
