Oil fell about 5% on February 2 after Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, signalling de-escalation. Brent traded near $65.86 and WTI near $61.79 after both had posted their biggest monthly gains since 2022 in January.
Falling supply disruptions in the US and Kazakhstan also weighed on prices.
The fading geopolitical premium and the return of supply to the market reduce crude costs for feed producers. Analysts say the market is fundamentally bearish, which points to further downside if the tensions stay eased.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Oil fell about 5% on Feb 2 as Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, so the geopolitical risk premium came out after January's big rally.