
Oil prices settled down more than 4% on February 1, 2026, after President Trump said Iran was 'seriously talking' with Washington. Brent and WTI fell from multi-month highs as the market priced out near-term strike risk.
A stronger dollar and milder US weather forecasts added pressure.
The removal of the geopolitical risk premium removes a supply-disruption cushion from crude, which lowers energy costs for feed production and transport. Lower crude also weakens the case for biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Oil settled down over 4% on US-Iran de-escalation, a stronger dollar and milder weather, though the dating is slightly off.