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Rabobank's Dairy Quarterly reports that milk collections in the Big Seven exporting regions were nearly flat year-on-year in Q4 2018, with US growth at about 1%. Output is falling in the EU and Australia, where weather hit feed quality, while Brazil and New Zealand grew before stalling in February 2019.
Rabobank expects a challenging production environment to continue through the first half of 2019.
Stalling milk output with weak global supply supports dairy prices and raises the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients for buyers. Tight milk supply tends to keep farmgate prices firm.
dairyindustries.com2019年4月2日在过去 237 次看涨的报告事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.6%），20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Rabobank's outlook for constrained milk output in major exporting regions through H1 2019 is a bullish supply signal released on the move date.
