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Rabobank expects dairy farmers in most major producing countries to return to profitability over 2024 and early 2025 as farmgate milk prices rise and input costs fall. It forecasts Big 7 milk supply turning positive in the second half of 2024, though it warns expansion will take time.
Brazil output is expected to rise 0.5% and Argentina's recovery depends on better weather from Q2 2024.
Expected milk supply growth in the second half of 2024 is a gradual, bearish offset to the firmer price outlook, and it matters for dairy feed demand outside the US.
在过去 237 次看涨的报告事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。