A global dairy update reports that supply fundamentals changed little since June while commodity prices eased across the board. Grain and oilseed prices fell sharply due to investment fund selling rather than changes in crop conditions, amid rising recession fears and softer consumer demand.
Fund-driven selling in grains and oilseeds, along with weaker dairy demand, points to lower feed ingredient and dairy prices, although underlying supply conditions have not changed.
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Global dairy update dated 2022-07-04 reports commodity prices easing across the board amid recession fears and softer demand, a sentiment and demand driver for the Class III drop.