Westpac analysts note the yuan had followed a clear appreciation trend from August 2017 until mid-June 2018, then reversed. Since June 12, nearly all G10 currencies fell against the dollar, and the yuan was among the weakest in Asia at about -3.2%.
The analysts doubt China views a weaker yuan as a deliberate policy tool in the trade fight.
The broad dollar strength and yuan weakness pressure commodity-linked currencies and raise the dollar cost of Chinese imports, a modest headwind for US feed exports. The analysts' view that the yuan slide is not a deliberate policy tool limits the expected scale of the price effect.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Westpac analysis documents the reversal of the yuan's appreciation trend and its roughly 3% drop since mid-June, confirming the move within the window, though it gives limited causal detail.