Bank of America cut its 2016 GDP growth forecast for China and lowered the growth target to 6.4% from 6.5%. Analysts expect the yuan to depreciate faster against the dollar after Brexit as investors move into the greenback.
Capital Economics said the direct economic shock from the UK to China would be small.
Expected faster yuan depreciation and slower Chinese growth point to softer Chinese import demand and a stronger dollar, both of which weigh on feed commodity prices.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Analysts expected faster yuan depreciation post-Brexit as money moved into the greenback and China's growth forecasts were cut, which fed sentiment.