
Analysts said the yuan's next move may depend on President-elect Trump's first press conference since July, scheduled for January 11. Trump had vowed to label China a currency manipulator and threatened tariffs of up to 45 percent on Chinese exports to the US.
The yuan had fallen to near eight-year lows after the election, mainly because of dollar strength.
Possible tariffs and currency-manipulation accusations would disrupt US-China trade flows, including agricultural purchases. Dollar strength and yuan weakness together raise the cost of dollar-priced commodities for Chinese buyers.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Trump's January 11 press conference was a key event risk, and a weaker dollar after it plausibly drove the 1-day yuan gain.