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US natural gas prices fell in sympathy with oil after Israel's limited retaliatory strikes on Iran, which analysts said reduced geopolitical risk premium. Analysts also cited rising production versus demand and warmer-than-normal November forecasts that eroded expected heating demand.
Easing Middle East risk removes premium from crude and gas, while warmer weather cuts expected heating demand. Both factors point to lower near-term energy prices.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
在过去 17 次看跌的天气事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(59% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +5.9%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。