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US natural gas prices fell below $2.00/MMBtu on January 20 for the first time since 2016 and have stayed near $1.92. Ten of the past eleven weeks have been warmer than normal, delaying the cold weather that would normally lift prices.
Mild weather is removing the seasonal demand support for gas, keeping energy costs low for feed mills and grain drying. The move is mainly a price-driven weather story with little direct feed price impact.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。