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The IEA's July 2018 Oil Market Report forecasts 1.4 mb/d of global oil demand growth in both 2018 and 2019. Global supply rose 370 kb/d in June, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and OPEC output hit a four-month high.
OECD commercial stocks rose by 13.9 mb in May but were still below normal levels.
Rising supply and a forecast of a surplus in the second half point to softer crude prices, though demand growth and low inventories limit the downside.
iea.org2018年7月11日在过去 171 次看跌的报告事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%（37% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.8% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 129 次看跌的报告事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The IEA's July 11 report showed June global supply up 370 kb/d with OPEC output at a four-month high and OECD stocks rebuilding, which eased supply-tightness concerns and plausibly contributed to the Brent selloff, though demand growth forecasts were steady and the move likely also reflected other factors such as Libya supply restoration and US-China trade tensions.
