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The IEA's November report sees 2018 global oil demand growth at 1.3 mb/d and 2019 at 1.4 mb/d. Record output from Saudi Arabia, Russia and the US more than offsets declines in Iran and Venezuela, and October refining margins fell to their lowest since 2014.
Strong supply growth and weaker refining margins point to a looser crude market and lower energy costs ahead. Lower oil prices ease input costs for feed producers, though slowing non-OECD demand adds downside risk.
在过去 129 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 171 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。