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The dollar is near its highest levels since 2002 on a trade-weighted basis, with the DXY close to its 2016 peak. Drivers include an aggressive expected Fed tightening cycle, the war in Europe, risk of a Russian gas cut-off, and a record US goods trade deficit of $125bn for March.
USD/CNY is trading above 6.60.
A sustained dollar rally pressures US export competitiveness for grains and meals and raises import costs for feed buyers in euro and emerging-market currencies. The record trade deficit signals strong import demand that could shift trade flows.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky2022年4月28日在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后，欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后，人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
ING's April 28 note describes a broad dollar surge on aggressive Fed expectations and USD/CNY trading above 6.60, directly matching the day's yuan drop.
Broad dollar strength to near 20-year trade-weighted highs, driven by Fed tightening, the war in Europe and gas cut-off risk, explains the euro's decline against USD.
Notes the dollar near its highest since 2002 trade-weighted, driven by Fed tightening expectations, war and gas risks, with USD/CNY above 6.60.
