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ING reports that Powell's press conference showed strong Fed disagreement on the policy path, with a December cut no longer a foregone conclusion. Market pricing for a December 25bp cut fell to about 70% from roughly 100%.
The yen and Swiss franc were the most exposed to the firmer dollar.
Higher short-end US rates support the dollar and weigh on dollar-priced commodities, while commodity currencies held up better on easing US-China tensions.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco Pesole2025年10月30日在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
