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Industry players are set to meet in Indonesia to discuss palm oil outlook, with weather a key topic. Analysts expect global palm output to rise by about six million tons next year, mostly from Indonesia and Malaysia.
Prices may soften from April and May if production rebounds.
A recovery in palm production after El Nino-related losses would add supply to vegetable oil markets. Whether demand can absorb the extra output will determine how far prices fall.
在过去 29 次看跌的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。