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Favorable weather in Malaysia and Indonesia has supported crop development, with ample rain and sunshine and little flooding. Traders expect record 2019 palm output from the two countries, which together produce over 80 percent of global supply.
Labour shortages, reduced fertiliser use and aging trees could limit growth.
Record Southeast Asian output would add supply to a market already carrying high stocks, pressuring benchmark prices. Lower palm oil prices would ease costs for palm-based feed fats.
在过去 29 次看跌的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。