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CME Group forecasts feeder cattle futures could climb above $200 by autumn 2023, which would be the highest since September 2015. Widespread drought has forced early culling and is shrinking the herd, and USDA has lowered its 2023 red meat supply forecast.
Analysts expect tighter cattle and beef supplies next year.
A shrinking herd and lower red meat supply from drought point to higher cattle and beef prices, which raises costs for feeder and fed cattle buyers.
在过去 80 次看涨的天气事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 79 次看涨的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。