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An analysis of Canada's March seeding intentions report shows the average report-day move in new-crop futures over the past decade. Spring wheat, canola and oats each averaged small declines on release days.
Statistics Canada is due to publish its first 2017/18 area report later in the week.
The historical pattern suggests only small average price moves, but acreage surprises in the upcoming area report could still move canola and spring wheat.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 35 次中性的报告事件之后,燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。