
Analysts said palm oil prices should improve next year as output growth slows and China shifts some vegetable oil demand to palm because of its trade dispute with the US. Malaysian futures fell to 2,108 ringgit a tonne, their lowest in over three years.
Analyst Thomas Mielke expects palm and soy oil to rise $50-100 a tonne over nine months.
Demand switching from soyoil to palm and slowing supply growth support palm and soy oil prices. The main downside risk is a resolution of the US-China dispute, which would reduce that substitution demand.
在过去 133 次看涨的贸易事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。