
Palm oil futures have rallied into a bull market, about 30% above the July four-year low. A Bloomberg survey of 11 traders and analysts expects benchmark futures to average RM2,350 a tonne this quarter and RM2,400 in early 2020.
Respondents cite Indonesian biodiesel demand, slowing output growth and higher Chinese imports as the drivers.
Slowing production and firmer Indonesian biodiesel and Chinese import demand tighten vegetable oil supply, supporting palm and soybean oil prices. Palm's premium over gasoil, however, reduces its appeal as a biofuel feedstock and limits further upside.
在过去 133 次看涨的贸易事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Survey of traders expects continued price gains on Indonesian biodiesel demand, slowing output growth and higher Chinese imports.