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Recent attacks on cargo vessels in the Black Sea have raised concern about further disruption to grain exports. Ukraine accused Russia of intensifying shipping attacks and a renewed blockade, while Moscow blamed Ukraine for attacks in the Sea of Azov.
The Ukrainian Agri Council warned that suspended port calls could leave up to 32.4 million tonnes of surplus grain on the domestic market.
The Black Sea handles roughly 70% of Ukrainian exports and a large share of Russian grain, so a blockade would tighten global wheat and corn supply and lift prices, especially for importers in the Middle East and North Africa. Conversely, stranded Ukrainian surplus could push domestic prices lower.
the-daily.orgSuper User2017年10月3日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
