Argentina's wheat harvest reached 45 percent complete by Dec. 7, ahead of last year's pace, with Bolsa de Cereales forecasting output at 17.0 MMT.
Australian wheat production is forecast by ABARES to fall to 20.3 MMT after rains damaged yield and quality. European Union planted winter wheat area for 2018/19 is expected slightly lower, with dry conditions in Spain noted.
Lower Australian output and a smaller EU area point to tighter wheat supplies, which supports feed wheat prices and competes with corn and barley in feed rations.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 29 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。