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USDA winter wheat condition ratings fell to 29% good to excellent at the end of January, down from 41% in December, with 37% rated poor or very poor. Drought covers most of the winter wheat area, with 81% of Oklahoma in severe to extreme drought.
Planted area is also 15% below the five-year average.
Deteriorating HRW conditions combined with low planted area point to smaller 2018/19 US winter wheat output, which supports HRW prices. Lower quality could also tighten milling-wheat supplies.
uswheat.org2018年2月8日在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
