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U.S. Commodities president Don Roose says northern Brazil's soybean harvest is about 3% behind normal but forecast weather should help. He expects soybean output could rival last year's record above 114 million tonnes.
He also warned Brazil's safrinha corn could come in 2 to 3 million tonnes below the latest USDA estimate, with acreage likely lower.
Expectations of a large soybean crop are bearish for soy and meal, while a possible shortfall in Brazilian safrinha corn would support corn prices.
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。