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DTN meteorologist Bryce Anderson says key Brazilian soybean regions, including Mato Grosso and Goias, are very dry and hot ahead of planting. Temperatures topped 100F in Mato Grosso during the first ten days of September.
A dry start resembles 2017, when delayed planting cut safrinha corn yields and lifted corn prices in spring 2018. Traders are watching for a similar supply risk, though no crop loss has occurred yet.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。