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ING revised its end-2018 USD/CNY forecast to 6.10 from 6.30, citing dollar weakness and exporters converting dollar receipts ahead of Chinese New Year. The yuan passed 6.30 per dollar on January 31, 2018, and the central bank reset its counter-cyclical fixing factor to zero so the currency will track market forces more closely.
A firmer yuan and expected further appreciation lower the yuan cost of dollar-priced imports, which can support Chinese feed import demand over time. The effect on grain and meal prices is indirect and gradual.
think.ing.comIris Pang Chief Economist, Greater China2018年2月1日在过去 362 次看跌的宏观事件之后，人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（42% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
