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A chief strategist at Fullerton Markets argues that yuan appreciation may be coming, citing a narrowing onshore-offshore spread and a stronger offshore yuan over three days. Onshore USD/CNY has mostly stayed above 6.90 since the start of the fourth quarter.
A stronger yuan would make dollar-priced imports cheaper for Chinese buyers, a modestly supportive signal for US soybean and feed demand. This is an opinion piece rather than a new cause of price movement.
在过去 362 次看跌的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 123 次看涨的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。