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A North Dakota analyst said wheat could rise 50 to 60 cents per bushel if the Southern Plains do not get significant rain. Parts of Oklahoma and Texas have had no rain for four months, and Northern Plains rainfall is at its lowest since 1991.
He added that fund buying could amplify any rally.
The forecast is conditional on continued drought, but a sustained dry spell would tighten HRW supply and lift prices. Fund buying could make moves sharper.
capitalpress.comMatthew Weaver2018年2月8日在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
