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Malacca Research says the EU's vote to phase out palm oil in biofuels by 2021, along with falling Chinese imports and higher Indian import tariffs, could lift global palm oil stocks. USDA expects 2018 ending stocks to rise 27%, implying output above demand.
The note frames the outlook as creating acquisition opportunities.
Rising global stocks and weaker import demand from the EU, China and India point to downward pressure on palm oil prices.
在过去 96 次看跌的报告事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。