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A Bloomberg-reported poll of 12 estimates puts Malaysian July palm stockpiles near 2.23 million tons, a 19-month high and a fifth monthly gain. Benchmark futures fell 1.7% to 4,175 ringgit by midday on Monday.
Higher stockpiles and sluggish overseas demand weigh on palm prices during the production peak. Firm Indian buying ahead of festivals and Indonesian biodiesel demand limit the downside.
thestar.com.myThe Star Online2025年8月4日在过去 96 次看跌的报告事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（48% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Monday 4 Aug saw futures fall midday on expectations of a 19-month-high Malaysian stock build, but the move in question is a +2.40% gain, so this explains bearish pressure rather than the rise; low-moderate relevance via the rebound being a bargain-buying reaction.
Futures fell 1.7% on Aug 4 on bearish stock expectations, creating the lower base that invited bargain buying and the rebound on Aug 5.
