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A Reuters poll of eight analysts expects oil demand to exceed supply by 750,000 barrels per day on average this year, reversing a previous forecast of surplus. The shortfall is expected to peak in the second quarter at around 3 million bpd, driven by the Iran war shutting Hormuz flows and removing production.
A swing from surplus to deficit tightens the crude balance and supports prices through the year. Higher energy costs raise the cost of feed production, transport and biofuel feedstocks.
在过去 116 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%(66% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +3.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 131 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +3.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。